Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-31 0.009063 0.010700 0.012676 0.015279 0.018679 0.023064 0.029311
2025-09-07 0.006797 0.008642 0.011126 0.014842 0.020512 0.029319 0.045198
2025-09-14 0.005523 0.007341 0.009958 0.014212 0.021440 0.034361 0.062784
2025-09-21 0.004819 0.006635 0.009393 0.014200 0.023184 0.041519 0.091194
2025-09-28 0.004431 0.006300 0.009286 0.014853 0.026309 0.053309 0.147575
2025-10-05 0.004234 0.006215 0.009543 0.016201 0.031422 0.073936 0.284094
2025-10-12 0.003956 0.005948 0.009426 0.016779 0.035122 0.094763 0.522395
2025-10-19 0.003620 0.005533 0.008966 0.016514 0.036603 0.110286 0.861846
2025-10-26 0.003382 0.005259 0.008720 0.016655 0.039312 0.134902 1.747366
2025-11-02 0.003131 0.004930 0.008316 0.016331 0.040517 0.155195 3.467422
2025-11-09 0.002848 0.004513 0.007685 0.015324 0.039095 0.159778 5.311279
2025-11-16 0.002621 0.004183 0.007192 0.014569 0.038287 0.168021 9.524378
2025-11-23 0.002492 0.004039 0.007097 0.014913 0.042043 0.220962 136.172386
2025-11-30 0.002311 0.003782 0.006738 0.014490 0.042778 0.255579 NaN
2025-12-07 0.002138 0.003524 0.006342 0.013881 0.042464 0.281871 NaN
2025-12-14 0.002028 0.003377 0.006171 0.013869 0.044852 0.355041 NaN
2025-12-21 0.001970 0.003328 0.006213 0.014501 0.050893 0.538712 NaN
2025-12-28 0.001953 0.003361 0.006445 0.015804 0.062076 1.061528 NaN
2026-01-04 0.001895 0.003300 0.006446 0.016363 0.069860 1.852554 NaN
2026-01-11 0.001800 0.003156 0.006227 0.016107 0.072074 2.556737 NaN
2026-01-18 0.001732 0.003063 0.006123 0.016242 0.077544 4.415856 NaN
2026-01-25 0.001650 0.002933 0.005911 0.015930 0.079295 6.503474 NaN
2026-02-01 0.001546 0.002749 0.005544 0.014956 0.074671 6.302177 NaN